POTENTIALS project

INFORMATION TO PARTNERS

    

First project meeting (in Copenhagen)

Second project meeting (in Bologna)

Third project meeting (in Toulouse)

Other information

 

FIRST MEETING

The first project meeting (after the kick-off meeting in Paris) was held on 5-6 Nov. 1998 at DMI in Copenhagen.

Here is the agenda: 

POTENTIALS

FIRST PROJECT MEETING

Copenhagen 5-6 November 1998

 

Day 1

10.00-12.00

Eigil Kaas (DMI): "Status of POTENTIALS".

Bennert Machenhauer (MPI): "Relation between errors in the mean flow and in cyclonic activity".

Ingolf Kirchner (MPI): "Nudging the slow manifold in GCM's"

Lunch

13.00 to 17.00

Michel Déqué (CNRM): "First results of a nudging experiment with ARPEGE cycle 18".

Eigil Kaas (DMI): "Using tendency errors to tune the parameterization of un-resolved dynamical scale interactions".

Annette Guldberg (DMI): "Using tendency errors as additional forcing in a GCM".

Fabio D'Andrea (LMD): "Improving climatology and variability by balancing model errors".

Franco Molteni (CINECA): "Recent developments of CINECA's intermediate-complexity GCM".

General discussion

Dinner at your own expense around 20.00

 

Day 2

9.00 to 12.30

General discussion

Richard Jones (Hadley Center): "Systematic errors in RCMs from GCM boundary conditions"

General discussion and planning

Prolongation of project?

End of the meeting

 

 

SECOND MEETING

The second project meeting will be held on 1-4 June 1999 at University of Bologna, Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geologico-Ambientali, Via Zamboni 67, 40127 Bologna (Italy). Susanna Corti has been so kind to provide this detailed information about the meeting, including maps etc.

Here is the agenda (printable as a pdf file

POTENTIALS

SECOND PROJECT MEETING

Bologna, 1-4 June, 1999

 

Day 1

14.00-17.00

Eigil Kaas (DMI): "Status of POTENTIALS".

Annette Guldberg (DMI): "Preliminary results from ensemble hindcasts in flux-corrected mode".

Michel Déqué (Meteo France): "Forcing ARPEGE v3 with the results of the ERA nudging".

Bennert Machenhauer (MPI): "Standard Nudging versus Slow Normal Mode Insertion (SNMI)".

Day 2

9.00-12.00

Ingo Kirchner: "Preliminary Results of Slow Normal Mode Insertion (SNMI) Using ERA Data and ECHAM4".

Susanna Corti (CINECA): "Tendency errors in a Primitive equation simplified model: preliminary results".

Fabio D'Andrea (LMD): "Preliminary results from an extremely simplified model of the low frequency variability of the atmosphere".

 

Day 2

14.00-15.00

Discussion on the design and content of scientific articles on data assimilation via nudging and estimation of tendency errors. Status on what concrete material we do have right now.

14.00-17.00

Splitting into 2 or 3 working groups starting to work on individual sections. (there should be enough LapTops available to do quite a bit of writing and editing)

Day 3

9.00-12.00

Continue the writing process

14.00-17.00

Plenum discussion

Day 4

9.00-14.00

Plenum and groups.

 

Here are minutes from the second project meeting as a pdf file.

 

THIRD MEETING

The third project meeting will be held on Thursday 9 and Friday 10 December at the Conference Centre Météo France.

From the airport to Météo-France: A taxi can drive you to Meteopole in about 10 minutes. Should cost around 100.00 FF. Alternatively take the airport shuttle to the stop "Allees Jean-Jaures", and then the subway (see after)

From the center of Toulouse to Météo-France: Take the subway to the last stop "Basso Cambo", then catch a bus on line number 8, check that the direction at the front of the bus is "Lycee Polyvalent", then get off at stop "METEO-FRANCE". A subway+bus ticket will cost around 7;00 FF.

At the Météo-France entrance: The meeting takes place at the International Conference Center, first building after the main gate.

 Here is the agenda as a pdf-file

POTENTIALS

THIRD PROJECT MEETING

Toulouse, 9-10 December, 1999

 

Day 1

9:30 to 12:00

Eigil Kaas (DMI): "Status of POTENTIALS".

Susanna Corti (CINECA): "Assimilation of meteorological re-analyses in a primitive equation simplified model"

Eigil Kaas (DMI): "Using nudging to re-constructing prescribed missing forcings in GCMs"

Ingo Kirchner (MPI): "Improvements in the detection potential of the systematic model errors using ERA data"

 

13.30-17.00

Annette Guldberg (DMI): "Different methods to improve the skill in dynamical seasonal prediction".

Michel Déqué (Météo France): "Two new nudging simulations with ARPEGE-3: impact on seasonal predictability"

Bennert Machenhauer (MPI): "The Systematic Model Errors and their Possible Causes"

Fabio D'Andrea (LMD): "An extremely simplified empirical-dynamical model: extending the use of model error correction"

 

Day 2

9.00-10.00

Discussion of the manuscript: "Using nudging to re-constructing prescribed missing forcings in GCMs". What is missing and do we all agree about the content.

 

10.00-12.00

Planning the final half year of the project.

Do you think we need a "glossy" brochure?

Continuation of POTENTIALS?

 

 

Other information

The project was presented at the at WMO workshop on Dynamical Extended Range Forecasts held at Météo France, Toulouse, France 17-21 Nov. 1997: Kaas, E., A. Guldberg, M. Barfred and M. Déqué, 1997: "Project On Tendency Evaluations using New Techniques to Improve Atmospheric Long-term Simulations (POTENTIALS)". The extended abstract (7 pages) including figures can be retrieved as pdf-file here.

The project was presented at the European Climate Science Conference in Vienna on the 19-23 October 1998. The written presentation can be found here (pdf-version).

The project was presented at the at the "2th International Conference on Reanalyses" 23-27/8 1999 held in Wokefield Park, Reading, UK: Deque et al.: "Using the Nudging Technique to Drive a GCM with ERA Data". PDF-file here

The project was presented at the at the "2th International Conference on Reanalyses" 23-27/8 1999 held in Wokefield Park, Reading, UK: Kaas et al.: " Improving General Circulation Models by using Tendency Residuals as Additional Forcing". PDF-file here.

 

A paper on using tendency errors to tune horizontal diffusion has been accepted for publication in Tellus. The work is really part of the Millinnia project but is related strongly to POTENTIALS. A pdf-version can be found here

A paper on flow dependent parameterisation of residual forcing in a 3 level Q-G model has been accepted for publication in Tellus: D'Andrea, F. and R. Vautard, 1999: "Reducing Systematic Errors by Empirically Correcting Model Errors", Tellus A, Accepted.

 

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The POTENTIALS project is supported by the European Commisions 4th FRAMEWORK PROGRAMME "Environment and Climate Research Programme" under contract number ENV4-CT97-0497.